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Title: Numerical optimization of parameters in systems of differential equations (English)
Author: Martínek, Josef
Author: Kučera, Václav
Language: English
Journal: Programs and Algorithms of Numerical Mathematics
Volume: Proceedings of Seminar. Jablonec nad Nisou, June 19-24, 2022
Issue: 2022
Year:
Pages: 123-132
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Category: math
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Summary: We present results on the estimation of unknown parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations in order to fit the output of models to real data. The numerical method is based on the nonlinear least squares problem along with the solution of sensitivity equations corresponding to the differential equations. We will present the performance of the method on the problem of fitting the output of basic compartmental epidemic models to data from the Covid-19 epidemic. This allows us to draw several conclusions on the natural limitations of these models and their validity. (English)
Keyword: ordinary differential equations
Keyword: parameter estimation
Keyword: nonlinear least squares
Keyword: mathematical epidemiology
MSC: 65K10
MSC: 65L05
MSC: 92D30
DOI: 10.21136/panm.2022.12
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Date available: 2023-04-13T06:25:06Z
Last updated: 2023-06-05
Stable URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10338.dmlcz/703194
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